Monday, October 12, 2026English edition
The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Tunisia country watch

Signals only — no written briefing yet. Every number links to the articles it counts.

Vigilance

No active vigilance flag · rules: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · Pressure surge · Media polarisation spike

Flare-up watch

Flare-up watch: Watch (1.4) — driven by Internal tension and Safety & health

  • Internal tension +2.2
  • Safety & health +1.9
  • Attention +0.1

· the articles counted

Signals consistent with rising crisis risk. A composite of press signals, not a forecast.

Composite of the day's z-scores against the country's own history — Internal tension 0.25, Safety & health 0.20, agenda divergence 0.20, framing gap 0.15, attention 0.20; a missing component drops out and the others are renormalised. Calm below 0.5 · Watch to 1.5 · High above. Needs 14 days of history on two components. Method →

Risk pressure, last 30 days

Risk categoryLevelArticles, 30 daysBaselineChange vs previous 30 days (articles)Last signal
Regulatory riskno baseline yet25—▲ +25Sociétés communautaires : quels sont les vrais freins ? La Presse
Operational riskno baseline yet14—▲ +14Port de Radès : trois nouvelles grues attendues entre fin novembre et début décembre La Presse
Stability riskno baseline yet15—▲ +15Météo : la Tunisie, l’Algérie… et plusieurs pays arabes menacés par des pluies orageuses jusqu’au 13 octobre La Presse
Safety & health riskno baseline yet17—▲ +17Qu’est-ce que le programme “Résilience”, lancé par la Tunisie ? La Presse
Corporate riskno baseline yet3—▲ +3Fuite d’états financiers : le CMF saisit la justice African Manager
Financial riskno baseline yet21—▲ +21Le dollar poursuit sa hausse face au dinar tunisien, l’euro en baisse La Presse
Trade riskno baseline yet58—▲ +58Tunisie-Guinée : Entrer pour y rester… La Presse
Political riskno baseline yet38—▲ +38Grands projets : Nouvelle vision pour un développement durable et inclusif La Presse

Pressure index from 30 days of history · 19 so far

Level = articles that passed the risk gate in the last 30 days, against the country's own baseline (mean of the previous three 30-day windows). Quiet 0 · Low up to the baseline · Elevated up to twice the baseline · High above. Counts, not severities: a press signal, not a rating. Every row links to the articles counted. Method →

Tunisia in the world's press

Today 254 articles · ×0.7 vs 30-day average · led by Tunisia, Benin, Kuwait, Jordan, Myanmar (Burma) press

Articles mentioning the country across the outlets we read, vs the 30-day average. Method →

Media polarisation

Shown from 14 days of data · 0 collected so far

Media we read

20 outlets read every day

  • African Manager independent
  • Al Chourouk independent
  • Aljarida independent
  • AlMasdar.tn independent
  • Assabah independent
  • Attounissia independent
  • BusinessNews.com.tn independent
  • Espace Manager independent
  • Foot Plus independent
  • Jawhara FM independent
  • Kapitalis independent
  • La Presse independent
  • Le Temps independent
  • leaders.com.tn independent
  • Shems FM independent
  • TAP
  • TN Tunisie Numerique independent
  • Tuniscope.com independent
  • Tunivisions independent
  • WMC independent

Today's signals

· 6 articles

All countries →