Monday, October 12, 2026English edition
The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Taiwan country watch

Signals only — no written briefing yet. Every number links to the articles it counts.

Vigilance

No active vigilance flag · rules: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · Pressure surge · Media polarisation spike

Flare-up watch

Flare-up watch: Watch (1.4) — driven by Internal tension and Safety & health

  • Internal tension +2.3
  • Safety & health +2.0
  • Attention −0.5

· the articles counted

Signals consistent with rising crisis risk. A composite of press signals, not a forecast.

Composite of the day's z-scores against the country's own history — Internal tension 0.25, Safety & health 0.20, agenda divergence 0.20, framing gap 0.15, attention 0.20; a missing component drops out and the others are renormalised. Calm below 0.5 · Watch to 1.5 · High above. Needs 14 days of history on two components. Method →

Risk pressure, last 30 days

Risk categoryLevelArticles, 30 daysBaselineChange vs previous 30 days (articles)Last signal
Regulatory riskno baseline yet60—▲ +60Taipower head wants power sector at the table in tech decisions TaipeiTimes
Operational riskno baseline yet30—▲ +30Airport plan raises earthquake risks TaipeiTimes
Stability riskno baseline yet17—▲ +17Taiwan condemns Beijing’s political coercion on diplomatic partners TaipeiTimes
Safety & health riskno baseline yet24—▲ +24Mountain rescue TaipeiTimes
Corporate riskno baseline yet15—▲ +15Super Micro ‘fixer’ pleads guilty to diverting AI tech TaipeiTimes
Financial riskno baseline yet21—▲ +21IMF boss gases up economic, job changes from AI TaipeiTimes
Trade riskno baseline yet27—▲ +27Machinery exports rising: industry group TaipeiTimes
Political riskno baseline yet35—▲ +352026 Elections: Kaohsiung mayoral candidates outline AI industry development plans TaipeiTimes

Pressure index from 30 days of history · 17 so far

Level = articles that passed the risk gate in the last 30 days, against the country's own baseline (mean of the previous three 30-day windows). Quiet 0 · Low up to the baseline · Elevated up to twice the baseline · High above. Counts, not severities: a press signal, not a rating. Every row links to the articles counted. Method →

Taiwan in the world's press

Today 119 articles · ×0.7 vs 30-day average · led by Japan, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong SAR China, South Korea press

Articles mentioning the country across the outlets we read, vs the 30-day average. Method →

Media polarisation

Shown from 14 days of data · 0 collected so far

Media we read

12 outlets read every day

  • Apple Daily opposition
  • China Times independent
  • cnYES independent
  • Epoch Times opposition
  • Liberty Times independent
  • NEXTmedia independent
  • NOW news independent
  • on.cc independent
  • Radio Taiwan International state
  • TaipeiTimes independent
  • TraNews.com independent
  • UDN independent

Today's signals

· 14 articles

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