Monday, October 12, 2026English edition
The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Haiti country watch

Signals only — no written briefing yet. Every number links to the articles it counts.

Vigilance

No active vigilance flag · rules: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · Pressure surge · Media polarisation spike

Flare-up watch

Flare-up watch: Watch (1.3) — driven by Internal tension and Safety & health

  • Internal tension +1.9
  • Safety & health +1.9
  • Attention +0.0

· the articles counted

Signals consistent with rising crisis risk. A composite of press signals, not a forecast.

Composite of the day's z-scores against the country's own history — Internal tension 0.25, Safety & health 0.20, agenda divergence 0.20, framing gap 0.15, attention 0.20; a missing component drops out and the others are renormalised. Calm below 0.5 · Watch to 1.5 · High above. Needs 14 days of history on two components. Method →

Risk pressure, last 30 days

Risk categoryLevelArticles, 30 daysBaselineChange vs previous 30 days (articles)Last signal
Regulatory riskno baseline yet6—▲ +6Changements des tarifs d’électricité en Dominique à compter du 1er novembre RTVC Radio Television Caraibes
Operational riskno baseline yet6—▲ +6Northeast : Propane gas supply trickling in under heavy surveillance Haiti Libre
Stability riskno baseline yet58—▲ +58Haïti-Crise : Des regroupements politiques mettent en garde contre une prolongation de la transition AlterPresse
Safety & health riskno baseline yet24—▲ +24Haiti - News : Zapping... Haiti Libre
Corporate riskno baseline yet1—▲ +1iciHaiti - CSC/CA : Swearing-in ceremony of approximately thirty Assistant Public Accountants Haiti Libre
Financial riskno baseline yet1—▲ +1L’économie des Bermudes croît de 0,5 % au premier trimestre 2026 RTVC Radio Television Caraibes
Trade riskno baseline yet6—▲ +6Haiti - LAC Transport Forum 2026 : Investment Opportunities in Haiti's Transport Sector Haiti Libre
Political riskno baseline yet37—▲ +37Haiti - Elections : 3rd revision of the electoral decree, details of the amendments (PDF) Haiti Libre

Pressure index from 30 days of history · 21 so far

Level = articles that passed the risk gate in the last 30 days, against the country's own baseline (mean of the previous three 30-day windows). Quiet 0 · Low up to the baseline · Elevated up to twice the baseline · High above. Counts, not severities: a press signal, not a rating. Every row links to the articles counted. Method →

Haiti in the world's press

Today 210 articles · ×0.8 vs 30-day average · led by Haiti, Jersey, Dominican Republic, Martinique, Barbados press

Articles mentioning the country across the outlets we read, vs the 30-day average. Method →

Media polarisation

Shown from 14 days of data · 0 collected so far

Media we read

6 outlets read every day

  • AlterPresse independent
  • Haiti Libre independent
  • Haiti Press Network independent
  • Radio Signal FM 90.5 independent
  • Radio Vision 2000 independent
  • RTVC Radio Television Caraibes independent

Today's signals

· 5 articles

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