Monday, October 12, 2026English edition
The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Costa Rica country watch

Signals only — no written briefing yet. Every number links to the articles it counts.

Vigilance

No active vigilance flag · rules: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · Pressure surge · Media polarisation spike

Flare-up watch

Flare-up watch: Watch (1.3) — driven by Internal tension and Safety & health

  • Internal tension +2.1
  • Safety & health +2.0
  • Attention −0.5

· the articles counted

Signals consistent with rising crisis risk. A composite of press signals, not a forecast.

Composite of the day's z-scores against the country's own history — Internal tension 0.25, Safety & health 0.20, agenda divergence 0.20, framing gap 0.15, attention 0.20; a missing component drops out and the others are renormalised. Calm below 0.5 · Watch to 1.5 · High above. Needs 14 days of history on two components. Method →

Risk pressure, last 30 days

Risk categoryLevelArticles, 30 daysBaselineChange vs previous 30 days (articles)Last signal
Regulatory riskno baseline yet57—▲ +57Seguro obligatorio del marchamo 2027 sube 5,4% para dueños de carros La Republica NET
Operational riskno baseline yet70—▲ +70Autoridades anuncian cierres viales en Heredia hasta fin de mes Diario Extra
Stability riskno baseline yet73—▲ +73La crisis social en el Norte Global, un termómetro entre China y América Latina La Republica NET
Safety & health riskno baseline yet66—▲ +66Más de 100 incidentes en Grecia por lluvias del fin de semana Diario Extra
Corporate riskno baseline yet25—▲ +25Magistrados piden cuentas a asociación solidarista por inversión en concierto de Snoop Dogg Teletica
Financial riskno baseline yet25—▲ +25Dollar Slips Back Toward 450 Colones, Shrinking What Your Dollars Buy ticotimes.cnet
Trade riskno baseline yet69—▲ +69Llueven críticas contra Trump por su plan de importar diésel ruso Teletica
Political riskno baseline yet27—▲ +27Ministra del Mideplan fortalece alianzas con la OCDE en París Diario Extra

Pressure index from 30 days of history · 22 so far

Level = articles that passed the risk gate in the last 30 days, against the country's own baseline (mean of the previous three 30-day windows). Quiet 0 · Low up to the baseline · Elevated up to twice the baseline · High above. Counts, not severities: a press signal, not a rating. Every row links to the articles counted. Method →

Costa Rica in the world's press

Today 165 articles · ×0.8 vs 30-day average · led by Costa Rica, Argentina, Belize, Panama, United States press

Articles mentioning the country across the outlets we read, vs the 30-day average. Method →

Media polarisation

Shown from 14 days of data · 0 collected so far

Media we read

11 outlets read every day

  • A.M. Costa Rica independent
  • Columbia FM independent
  • Diario Extra independent
  • El Financiero independent
  • everardoherrera.com independent
  • La Nacion independent
  • La Republica NET independent
  • Repretel independent
  • Teletica independent
  • ticotimes.cnet independent
  • YQ Yashinquesada.com independent

Today's signals

· 25 articles

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