Chad country watch
Signals only — no written briefing yet. Every number links to the articles it counts.
Vigilance
No active vigilance flag · rules: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · Pressure surge · Media polarisation spike
Flare-up watch
Flare-up watch: Watch (1.0) — driven by Internal tension and Safety & health
- Internal tension +1.8
- Safety & health +1.2
- Attention −0.1
Signals consistent with rising crisis risk. A composite of press signals, not a forecast.
Composite of the day's z-scores against the country's own history — Internal tension 0.25, Safety & health 0.20, agenda divergence 0.20, framing gap 0.15, attention 0.20; a missing component drops out and the others are renormalised. Calm below 0.5 · Watch to 1.5 · High above. Needs 14 days of history on two components. Method →
Risk pressure, last 30 days
Pressure index from 30 days of history · 17 so far
Level = articles that passed the risk gate in the last 30 days, against the country's own baseline (mean of the previous three 30-day windows). Quiet 0 · Low up to the baseline · Elevated up to twice the baseline · High above. Counts, not severities: a press signal, not a rating. Every row links to the articles counted. Method →
Chad in the world's press
Today 31 articles · ×0.7 vs 30-day average · led by Burkina Faso, Togo, Congo - Kinshasa, Cameroon, Central African Republic press
Articles mentioning the country across the outlets we read, vs the 30-day average. Method →
Media polarisation
Shown from 14 days of data · 0 collected so far
Media we read
2 outlets read every day
- Journal du Tchad independent
- TchadInfos independent
Signals of 11 October 2026
Internal tension