Monday, October 12, 2026English edition
The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Bosnia & Herzegovina country watch

Signals only — no written briefing yet. Every number links to the articles it counts.

Vigilance

No active vigilance flag · rules: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · Pressure surge · Media polarisation spike

Flare-up watch

Flare-up watch: Watch (1.2) — driven by Internal tension and Safety & health

  • Internal tension +2.1
  • Safety & health +1.9
  • Attention −0.5

· the articles counted

Signals consistent with rising crisis risk. A composite of press signals, not a forecast.

Composite of the day's z-scores against the country's own history — Internal tension 0.25, Safety & health 0.20, agenda divergence 0.20, framing gap 0.15, attention 0.20; a missing component drops out and the others are renormalised. Calm below 0.5 · Watch to 1.5 · High above. Needs 14 days of history on two components. Method →

Risk pressure, last 30 days

Risk categoryLevelArticles, 30 daysBaselineChange vs previous 30 days (articles)Last signal
Regulatory riskno baseline yet26—▲ +26Microsoft upozorio: Vještačka inteligencija manje regulisana od mlijeka Nezavisne Novine
Operational riskno baseline yet73—▲ +73Hakeri pregrijali frižidere u marketima, tone hrane uništene Vijesti.ba
Stability riskno baseline yet22—▲ +22Treći napad nožem u četiri dana, Poljska poslala 20.000 policajaca u škole Oslobodjenje
Safety & health riskno baseline yet12—▲ +12Prijeteće poruke školama šire se društvenim mrežama, mladi ih smatraju šalom Oslobodjenje
Corporate riskno baseline yet13—▲ +13RS plaća 35.000 dolara mjesečno firmi u kojoj je kćerka Trumpove šefice kabineta Oslobodjenje
Financial riskno baseline yet19—▲ +19Nakon Francuske, nova opasnost za Europu. Italiji prijeti dužnička kriza Dnevnik.ba
Trade riskno baseline yet23—▲ +23Crna Gora zatvorila još tri pregovaračka poglavlja s EU Vijesti.ba
Political riskno baseline yet106—▲ +106SPD, Zeleni i Ljevica počeli pregovore o koaliciji koja bi spriječila AfD da preuzme vlast Vijesti.ba

Pressure index from 30 days of history · 21 so far

Level = articles that passed the risk gate in the last 30 days, against the country's own baseline (mean of the previous three 30-day windows). Quiet 0 · Low up to the baseline · Elevated up to twice the baseline · High above. Counts, not severities: a press signal, not a rating. Every row links to the articles counted. Method →

Bosnia & Herzegovina in the world's press

Today 59 articles · ×0.6 vs 30-day average · led by Bosnia & Herzegovina, Austria, Liberia, Montenegro, Slovenia press

Articles mentioning the country across the outlets we read, vs the 30-day average. Method →

Media polarisation

Shown from 14 days of data · 0 collected so far

Media we read

12 outlets read every day

  • 24sata.info independent
  • Dnevnik.ba independent
  • Ekskluziva.ba
  • Express
  • Klix independent
  • Nezavisne Novine independent
  • Oslobodjenje independent
  • Poskok independent
  • Press
  • Radio Sarajevo independent
  • SportSport.ba independent
  • Vijesti.ba independent

Today's signals

· 19 articles

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